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Draft Crapshoot
by
martinwarnett
@
7/18/2020 7:15 am
Is it me or does it seem the league draft is more of a lottery this season? Might be my weightings but seem to be less potential stars outside first round, seem to be fewer low volatilty top end players?
I see it being a crapshoot after the first 4 rounds. Out of the last eight drafts we scored most of our more legit starters in the first two rounds with a similar average based on default ratings.
Drafting with alot of high volatility in general saw round threes defaut average end up considerably higher than rounds 5 through 7, but in general impact makers were about the same in frequency.
I like the current distribution , but over a dozen seasons ago there was more top end talent...more talent overall.
And this was not my weights...they would have produced much higher averages but boom bust rate has to be pretty close to have good enough camp to warrant being a legit starter. The best late picks both came out of the 5th round...pick 32. Both 80 rated by my weights and good picks for almost the six round..still 2 out of eight seasons is rare
