setherick wrote:
There are a lot of problems with this:
1) The penalty shouldn't apply to passes < 20 yards since that is the real long ball target distance for NFL QBs. An NFL QB should be able to pinpoint pass any pass < 20 yards while not under pressure.
2) That's not how the penalty is actually applied. It appears to be applied twice for wide open receivers, and not applied at all for covered receivers. Wide open WRs drop - and I'm not exaggerating - 50% of their passes. My 100 catch receivers in DHF went from 80% catch rates to 50-60% catch rates in the transition to 0.4.3.
3) The penalty is still applied for passes <= 12 yards. This is evident by looking at RB swing passes to high catch RBs. 50% of the time they either stop (dive catch) or drop the ball completely. But the < 0 yard distance from LOS could be a separate bug.
1) The penalty shouldn't apply to passes < 20 yards since that is the real long ball target distance for NFL QBs. An NFL QB should be able to pinpoint pass any pass < 20 yards while not under pressure.
2) That's not how the penalty is actually applied. It appears to be applied twice for wide open receivers, and not applied at all for covered receivers. Wide open WRs drop - and I'm not exaggerating - 50% of their passes. My 100 catch receivers in DHF went from 80% catch rates to 50-60% catch rates in the transition to 0.4.3.
3) The penalty is still applied for passes <= 12 yards. This is evident by looking at RB swing passes to high catch RBs. 50% of the time they either stop (dive catch) or drop the ball completely. But the < 0 yard distance from LOS could be a separate bug.
You're actually oversimplifying it (partly my fault because I oversimplify it as well). The distance penalty is applied as I described. There are also other factors, such as what probability a 100-catch receiver will do vs a 0-catch receiver, or the impact of ball placement, the impact of courage vs punish receiver, etc, that has nothing to do with how far the ball is thrown and is applied to every catch equally. But, this has been there from the beginning (albeit in a constant state of adjustment).