Sardean wrote:
yes these stats are great.
I'd like to point this out though, My QB is 2nd in both PCT AND Rating. My QB is 17th in strike rate. look at the differences in these 3 stats. which QB would you hire? PCT and rating would be my way to go for sure. The game is about using 4 downs to move 10 yards not 1.
As stated first I appreciate the work that goes into these stats but i feel they have flaws in realising what is actually happening.
First off, I'm happy people are enjoying the extra stats. I've always been a garage mathematician, and it's cool to see others interested in the numbers like I am!
Like I said in the thread that I referenced in the original post, Success Rate is a measure of CONSISTENCY . How consistently does your QB throw passes of at least 5 yards on 1st down? At least half the distance to the 1st down marker on 2nd down? Complete passes on 3rd down that result in a fresh set of downs? PCT is just completing the pass. SR for QB is completing the pas AND it being a completion that keeps the ball moving down field. So, it's not a matter of either stat being misleading. It's a matter of understanding what the stat is telling you.
Also, as stated by Brian Burke and then again repeated by me somewhere in the two threads, SR is not very good at showing the value of players in a high risk/high reward offensive system. If your QB is throwing the long ball all day, he may only complete 1 in 5, but if that 1 goes for a TD, then all is well. SR is not a measure of points put on the board. It is a measure of how consistently a player puts the team in a position to continue moving the ball.
As far as QB Rating goes, well, personally I'd rather use ANY/A or AY/A to gauge my QBs play. I won't go into why QB Rating is a flawed stat, but you can find an article or two on any football stat website that will explain why is not that informative of a stat.
So, of course, it needs to be taken in context, just like every other stat.
But either way, like SR or not, I enjoy the discussion! And as long as people seem interested, I'll continue to put the stats up. Also, at the end of the season, I will (eventually) put up the Approximate Value #'s for the top 50 players or so. So keep an eye out for that at the end of the season!
