beeznik wrote:
My FG kicker went 0-3 this week.
I actually logged the calculations this time, here are the probability numbers on each of the 3 attempts:
37-yard FG had a 98.37% chance of success. It also got caught a little by the 9MPH winds.
40-yard FG had a 96.66% chance of success. This one just plain missed.
49-yard FG had a 93.65% chance of success. It also got caught by the wind.
I may tone down the wind effect on the flight of the ball, on a calm day you would have made both the 37 (maybe, it actually was really close even on a calm day) and the 49 yarder, but would still have missed the 40-yarder.