I'm not quite sure exactly why down by 11 should be go for two, I think it's come up before and was the reason you now have control over it.
I think the logic is that making the 2 puts you in position to tie with a field goal (statistically easier to do than a TD just from field position).
that's three possessions though if you are going to tie on only FGs. I think it's probably more that it puts you in a position to win with a TD and a FG. I think this because it also says to go for 2 when only trailing by 1.
I'm not quite sure exactly why down by 11 should be go for two, I think it's come up before and was the reason you now have control over it.
I think the logic is that if you were down 11, and you get the TD, making the 2 puts you in position to tie with a field goal (statistically easier to do than a TD just from field position).
The other reason is that in a close game in the fourth quarter there is no difference being down 5 points as opposed to 4 points. Either way you need a TD to win. So you're statistically better off going for 2 to reduce the score to 3.
I think some of us are interpreting the chart differently. If I understand it right, it's when the 6 points from the TD put you down by that many points, in this case, 11, not if you were down by 11 before the TD.
GG chinaski....... This one was a lot more defense oriented than our game earlier this season! Like I said earlier, I see the glimmer in my players eyes, like they are ready to turn the corner and start winning some games again!
