raymattison21 wrote:
an elite , experienced, max play familiar, look off QB like brady has checked down to rbs without having them in his FOV. Based on coverage looks and intial movement of the defense at the snap or soon after one could guess if a checkdown is open or not and make the play.
I swear I was going to let this go. I swear. It's Sunday morning, and I'm doing house chores, and I swear I wasn't going to take the time to break out the football 101 course again....but since this weekend has been all about basic football tactics, here we go.
This is completely untrue.
New England runs a passing system that is built on the Bill Walsh school of progressive reads. Brady reads the top level, mid level (i.e. Gronk), and then comes back to the outlet (i.e. Edleman, White, previously Woodhead, previously Welker, previously K Faulk, previously...).
If the defense blitzes, Brady skips reading the top two levels and goes immediately to the outlet. If the outlet is covered, he'll throw it away or take the sack.
Progressive reads still rely on FOV, and the outlet is usually in Brady's FOV anyway because Brady squares the field better than any QB since Joe Montana. Here's a perfect example:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yq9uGc1dcmkBrady squares up the field and reads the top two levels. When he sees the pressure, he immediately switches to James. James is in his FOV the entire time. Brady just doesn't read him until he sees that the top two levels are covered.
Progressive reads are particularly useful against teams that play zone:
https://www.pro-football-reference.com/boxscores/201502010sea.htmAnd:
https://www.pro-football-reference.com/boxscores/201702050atl.htm---
I asked for progressive reads in MFN more than two years ago. But we can't have a system like that because QBs aren't squaring the field right now.
...and found it - 1/31/2016.
jdavidbakr wrote:
setherick wrote:
The easiest way I could think to make it work programmatically would be to split the field into three zones - long, intermediate, short. The QB checks to see if a WR has reached the long zone, if not checks the intermediate zone for open WRs, if not checks the short zone. Then cycle back through.
That's an interesting thought, I will take that into consideration. The question remains, though, how long should the QB stay in the long zone on a long pass? If it's so short then he'll always throw shorter passes.
Last edited at 6/03/2018 12:04 pm